Atlante 3-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.59/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.72
-5% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1 Corners 9
14.09.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
30.10.2022 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
27.10.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 HT 1-2 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.08.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-3 HT 0-3 Atlante Atlante MEK2
15.04.2022 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante got the better of Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Atlante 3-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atlante 45%, draw 29%, Mineros de Zacatecas 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5
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