Cancun FC 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Mar 2024

Cancun FC
2-0 HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-1.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cancun FC v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 15%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
2.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.65
+13% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
31.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
12.10.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
09.02.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.09.2021 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
28.03.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-1 HT 4-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC saw off Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cancun FC and 1.50 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancun FC 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 68%, draw 20%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
20 Mar 2024
04:05 Atlante vs Mineros de Zacatecas Analysis →
06:05 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala Analysis →