Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
62%
+2.0pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.35
+34% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.03.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-1 HT 3-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
05.10.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-5 HT 1-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.01.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
06.10.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
15.01.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
09.09.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0-1
AWAY CA La Paz
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz nicked a narrow win over Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Tepatitlán de Morelos carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 60% of the ball to CA La Paz's 40%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.00 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 64%, draw 15%, CA La Paz 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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