Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.86/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Venados
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 6
19.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
02.11.2024 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
25.01.2024 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
18.08.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.04.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
29.10.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1-0
AWAY Venados
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg edged past Venados 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 49% of the ball to Venados's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.17 for Venados.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Venados?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 53%, draw 21%, Venados 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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