Tlaxcala vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tlaxcala v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
Tlaxcala vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
MEK2
Tlaxcala 0-1 Monarcas Morelia — Actual Match Statistics
Monarcas Morelia edged past Tlaxcala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Monarcas Morelia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tlaxcala had 54% of the ball to Monarcas Morelia's 46%, shots finished 20-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.83 for Monarcas Morelia.
What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Monarcas Morelia?
Tlaxcala 0-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Monarcas Morelia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 38%, draw 22%, Monarcas Morelia 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.