Venados 3-0 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.08
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
6 Corners 4
25.01.2024 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
18.08.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.04.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
29.10.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
26.10.2022 Venados Venados 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
08.08.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 HT 3-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados cruised past Leones Negros Udeg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Venados found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Venados and 2.17 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Venados 3-0 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Venados 38%, draw 34%, Leones Negros Udeg 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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