CD Tapatio 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
37%
+11.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
36%
-13.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.28/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.03
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celaya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
28.04.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
25.04.2024 Celaya Celaya 4-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.04.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
11.08.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
04.02.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 1-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
21.07.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio and Celaya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.67 for Celaya.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Celaya?

CD Tapatio 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 49%, draw 29%, Celaya 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Tapatio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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