CA La Paz 1-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.16/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.60
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +85%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 12
03.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
14.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.02.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
03.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Cancun FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA La Paz and 2.00 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Cancun FC?

CA La Paz 1-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 29%, draw 23%, Cancun FC 48%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ BTTS No
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