Haugesund 4-2 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

Haugesund
4-2 HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2026

Haugesund vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.5
No
35%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
16%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
+2.9pp
35%
BTTS No
38%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.66/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.49
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Haugesund vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stromsgodset
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.17 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.08.2025 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
06.04.2025 Haugesund Haugesund 0-5 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
15.09.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
20.05.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
08.10.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
04.06.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Haugesund 4-2 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
4-2
AWAY Stromsgodset
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund got the better of Stromsgodset 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Haugesund found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Haugesund had 49% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 51%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haugesund and 1.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Stromsgodset?

Haugesund 4-2 Stromsgodset in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 36%, draw 25%, Stromsgodset 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
11 Apr 2026
15:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Odds BK Analysis →
15:00 Sogndal vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
15:00 Strommen vs Egersunds Analysis →