Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.12
2-3 Goals
34%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
16%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
12%
4.36
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
9%
6.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.3
2/2
11%
7.3
2/X
4%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.71/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.46
-40% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
31.4 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Haugesund
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Haugesund Haugesund 0-5 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
15.09.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
20.05.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
08.10.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
04.06.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
29.10.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 1-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-0
AWAY Haugesund
2.57 xG 0.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
472 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset saw off Haugesund 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 56% of the ball to Haugesund's 44%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.57 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stromsgodset and 0.83 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?

Stromsgodset 2-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 58%, draw 19%, Haugesund 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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