Valerenga 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.21
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.83
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
6%
7.09
X/X
8%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.2
2/2
18%
4.42
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.75
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.7 Crosses 17.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
296 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.10.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
29.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 2-3 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
18.09.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.05.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-3 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
12.09.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.37 xG 2.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
241 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 35
25 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga edged past Sandefjord 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valerenga had 38% of the ball to Sandefjord's 62%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.37 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valerenga and 1.67 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Sandefjord?

Valerenga 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 50%, draw 21%, Sandefjord 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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