KFUM Oslo 4-1 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.14
X/2
15%
6.21
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.38
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
21.0 Crosses 19.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 0.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
273 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
11.08.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 1-1 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
4-1
AWAY Rosenborg
1.56 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
424 Passes 276
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo ran out comfortable winners over Rosenborg 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 58% of the ball to Rosenborg's 42%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.56 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KFUM Oslo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KFUM Oslo and 0.67 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Rosenborg?

KFUM Oslo 4-1 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 44%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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