Widzew Lodz 1-0 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.43
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.13
6+
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
22%
3.83
X/2
6%
12.6
X/X
8%
5.9
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
9%
10.75
2/X
5%
19.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza The Market 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.80
-4% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
22.7 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.48 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-4 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
24.09.2025 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK
16.05.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
20.11.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
14.09.2014 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Nieciecza
2.07 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
309 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 25
36 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Widzew Lodz vs Nieciecza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Widzew Lodz found just enough to beat Nieciecza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 56% of the ball to Nieciecza's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Widzew Lodz's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.80 for Nieciecza.

Widzew Lodz vs Nieciecza Result & Final Score

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Nieciecza in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Widzew Lodz vs Nieciecza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 60%, draw 19%, Nieciecza 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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