Legia Varşova 1-1 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.74
Over
43%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.76
2-3
42%
1.7
4-5
18%
3.75
6+
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.69
X/2
10%
6.84
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
7%
14.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 31%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.38 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
0.99 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.31
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.7 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 2-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
06.04.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-2 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
28.09.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
01.04.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
04.03.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1-1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.87 xG 0.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
294 Passes 422
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Legia Varşova and Gornik Zabrze couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Gornik Zabrze saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.87 to 0.35.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Legia Varşova against 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze.

Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Legia Varşova 1-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 43%, draw 27%, Gornik Zabrze 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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