Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.51
1/2
5%
24.65
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
6.67
X/2
14%
5.24
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.12
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.61/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.35
+1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.4 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.12 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
01.04.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
04.03.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.05.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-3 HT 4-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.69 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
429 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova edged past Gornik Zabrze 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Legia Varşova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 51% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 49%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.69 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 2.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova?

Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 36%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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