Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
7%
7.12
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
5.66
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.65/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
+31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.3 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
23.04.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.68 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Piast Gliwice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 56% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.68 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 45%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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