Gornik Zabrze 3-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.86
Over
47%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.69
No
48%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.15
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
20%
3.39
6+
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.36
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.37
2/X
7%
12.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Gornik Zabrze The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova The Market 43%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.62 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.48
1.24 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.17
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
17.9 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-2 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
28.09.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
01.04.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
04.03.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.05 xG 1.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
266 Passes 416
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gornik Zabrze took care of Legia Varşova 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

Under the surface, Gornik Zabrze had 39% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.05 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.83 for Legia Varşova.

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova Result & Final Score

Gornik Zabrze 3-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 37%, draw 28%, Legia Varşova 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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