Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.44
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.18
6+
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.29
X/X
7%
4.98
2/1
8%
23.55
2/2
12%
5.23
2/X
9%
13.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce The Market 31%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.69 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.00
1.33 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.19
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.2 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
27.10.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
11.05.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
28.02.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POLK
11.11.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-2 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
15.04.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.92 xG 1.02
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
547 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Jagiellonia Bialystok saw off Korona Kielce 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, possession split 69% to 31% in Jagiellonia Bialystok's favour, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.92 to 1.02.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Jagiellonia Bialystok against 1.50 for Korona Kielce.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Result & Final Score

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 45%, draw 26%, Korona Kielce 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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