Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-1
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
4-1
HT 1-1
Korona Kielce
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Korona Kielce
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Korona Kielce 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 58% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 42%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.00 for Korona Kielce.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 52%, draw 22%, Korona Kielce 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.