Widzew Lodz 0-2 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Oct 2024

Widzew Lodz
0-2 HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.82
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
9%
4.85
X/2
12%
7.16
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
12%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.9
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
25.0 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-1 HT 2-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
13.05.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
28.10.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-0 HT 3-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.12.2013 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
10.08.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-3 HT 0-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Widzew Lodz 0-2 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
0-2
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.25 xG 2.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
320 Passes 480
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze got the better of Widzew Lodz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 41% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 59%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.25 to 2.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.33 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze?

Widzew Lodz 0-2 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 39%, draw 27%, Gornik Zabrze 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
27 Oct 2024
14:15 Stal Mielec vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →
16:45 Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Analysis →
22:15 Legia Varşova vs Katowice Analysis →