Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.74
No
50%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.76
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
25%
2.99
6+
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.99
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
26%
4.13
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
12%
5.88
2/1
11%
21.4
2/2
5%
8.52
2/X
5%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Rakow Czestochowa The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.76 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.63
0.88 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.68
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.9 Crosses 20.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.85 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
413 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 HT 1-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
21.07.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
01.03.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-3 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
3.01 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
431 Passes 347
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa had too much for Motor Lublin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Rakow Czestochowa's favour, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.01 to 0.50.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Rakow Czestochowa against 0.67 for Motor Lublin.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin Result & Final Score

Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 59%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5
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