Olympique Beja 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.41
Over 2.5
42%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
6.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-3.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
67%
-9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
33%
+9.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.02/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.97
+48% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
185 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Beja
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 1-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
18.01.2025 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-2 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
31.08.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
07.01.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUNSK
28.10.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
23.08.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
POST-MATCH Olympique Beja vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Du Sahel at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olympique Beja and 0.67 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of Olympique Beja vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Olympique Beja 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Beja vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olympique Beja 19%, draw 34%, Etoile Du Sahel 48%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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