Jiangxi Beidamen 0-3 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 53%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
200 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing ran out comfortable winners over Jiangxi Beidamen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Dalian Zhixing?

Jiangxi Beidamen 0-3 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 28%, draw 32%, Dalian Zhixing 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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