Suzhou Dongwu 2-2 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
5.08
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.46/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.48
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -42%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
213 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
15.4 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.64 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-3 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
16.07.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.07.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
22.06.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2-2
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.71 xG 1.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
203 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu and Guangxi Baoyun couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 40% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 60%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.71 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 0.75 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Suzhou Dongwu 2-2 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 22%, draw 28%, Guangxi Baoyun 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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