Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nanjing City v Chongqing Tongliang Long — Team-Based Signals
Nanjing City 1-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Actual Match Statistics
Chongqing Tongliang Long nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chongqing Tongliang Long found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nanjing City had 47% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 53%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.11 to 2.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chongqing Tongliang Long's control.
What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Nanjing City 1-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 33%, draw 29%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.