Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.1 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.60 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
352 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 5-3 HT 3-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
01.12.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
27.08.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
26.02.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
06.11.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
11.09.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-1
AWAY Vaduz
1.12 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
347 Passes 526
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax and Vaduz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 41% of the ball to Vaduz's 59%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.12 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.67 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 39%, draw 24%, Vaduz 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
11 May 2024
19:00 Thun vs FC Schaffhausen Analysis →