Thun 3-0 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.22/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.17
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.1 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
28.07.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
27.05.2023 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
05.03.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-5 HT 0-3 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2022 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-0
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.32 xG 0.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun cruised past FC Schaffhausen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Thun had 51% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 49%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thun and 0.83 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Thun 3-0 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Thun 53%, draw 22%, FC Schaffhausen 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5
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