Stade Ouchy 3-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.1
2-3 Goals
49%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.6
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
11%
5.81
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
17%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yverdon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.61 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
10.12.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
28.09.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
19.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 4-1 HT 2-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
03.02.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
19.11.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-0 HT 2-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
3-1
AWAY Yverdon
1.49 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy beat Yverdon 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Stade Ouchy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 48% of the ball to Yverdon's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.49 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yverdon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.33 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Yverdon?

Stade Ouchy 3-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 37%, draw 32%, Yverdon 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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