Siroki Brijeg 0-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.88
-4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Velez Mostar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-3 HT 2-2 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
06.03.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
26.11.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
26.04.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.11.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 4-4 HT 3-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
0-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar nicked a narrow win over Siroki Brijeg 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Velez Mostar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 55% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.67 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Siroki Brijeg 0-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 40%, draw 28%, Velez Mostar 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →