Imbabura vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Imbabura v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Imbabura vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Imbabura
EKV2
2-1
HT 2-0
Libertad
EKV2
1-2
HT 0-0
Libertad
EKV2
3-5
HT 0-1
Imbabura
EKV2
Imbabura 4-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Imbabura saw off Libertad 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Imbabura as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Imbabura had 59% of the ball to Libertad's 41%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.90 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Imbabura and 2.00 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Imbabura vs Libertad?
Imbabura 4-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Imbabura win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 43%, draw 26%, Libertad 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imbabura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.