Inter Turku 0-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.92
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
10%
7.13
X/2
19%
4.78
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.8
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 49%
-24% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.11/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.20
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
18.6 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
2W-0D-4L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 2.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
227 Passes 486
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
13.05.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 3-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
02.10.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
0-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.84 xG 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
461 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki edged past Inter Turku 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 61% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 39%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.84 to 0.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Turku.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 2.17 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Inter Turku 0-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 28%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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