Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-4 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-4 HT 0-1
Polonia Bytom
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 25% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chojniczanka Chojnice v Polonia Bytom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.50/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.26
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom ran out comfortable winners over Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Polonia Bytom found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-4 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 40%, draw 28%, Polonia Bytom 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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