Hutnik Krakow 3-0 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

Hutnik Krakow
3-0 HT 1-0
Lech Poznan II
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Hutnik Krakow vs Lech Poznan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+12.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hutnik Krakow v Lech Poznan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.24
+14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hutnik Krakow vs Lech Poznan II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 4-3 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
06.11.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-1 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
16.07.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 3-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
12.03.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
29.08.2021 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 2-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
14.03.2021 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2

Hutnik Krakow 3-0 Lech Poznan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
3-0
AWAY Lech Poznan II
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow cruised past Lech Poznan II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 57% of the ball to Lech Poznan II's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 2.17 for Lech Poznan II.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Lech Poznan II?

Hutnik Krakow 3-0 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 44%, draw 21%, Lech Poznan II 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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