Kalisz 0-2 Kotwica Kolobrzeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.66
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 2-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
23.10.2022 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-2
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg saw off Kalisz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day Kotwica Kolobrzeg made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalisz had 55% of the ball to Kotwica Kolobrzeg's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kotwica Kolobrzeg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kalisz and 1.00 for Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Kalisz 0-2 Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 40%, draw 25%, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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