Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metropolitanos v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
2-0
HT 0-0
Metropolitanos
VEN
1-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
1-0
HT 1-0
Metropolitanos
VEN
Metropolitanos 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Metropolitanos squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Metropolitanos had 35% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 65%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.49 to 2.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo La Guaira.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.
What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Metropolitanos 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 39%, draw 31%, Deportivo La Guaira 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.