Motala AIF FK 1-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.15/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.77
+12% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
24.08.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 5-0 HT 3-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
27.04.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 6-0 HT 4-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK and Ahlafors IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motala AIF FK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Motala AIF FK and 3.00 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Motala AIF FK 1-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 45%, draw 32%, Ahlafors IF 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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