Motala AIF FK 5-0 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.99/3.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.93
+137% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
27.04.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 6-0 HT 4-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK cruised past Ahlafors IF 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ahlafors IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Motala AIF FK 5-0 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 31%, draw 27%, Ahlafors IF 43%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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