24/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
IFK Lulea vs Lucksta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
28%
Draw
21%
31%
Away Win
26%
38%
Under 2.5
31%
62%
Over 2.5
69%
68%
BTTS Yes
67%
32%
BTTS No
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Lulea v Lucksta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
IFK Lulea
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
2.09/1.53
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.03/5.03
+0%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
-62%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
413 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
IFK Lulea vs Lucksta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
IFK Lulea
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lucksta
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
IFK Lulea vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
IFK Lulea squeezed past Lucksta 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs Lucksta?
IFK Lulea 1-0 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs Lucksta?
Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 41%, draw 28%, Lucksta 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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