Jarfalla 0-1 Kungsangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.66/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
+37% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
220 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kungsangen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Kungsangen Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
24.09.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-5 HT 0-3 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Kungsangen Kungsangen 1-3 HT 0-2 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
09.10.2022 Kungsangen Kungsangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
31.10.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Kungsangen Kungsangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Kungsangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kungsangen nicked a narrow win over Jarfalla 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jarfalla at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jarfalla and 1.67 for Kungsangen.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Kungsangen?

Jarfalla 0-1 Kungsangen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Kungsangen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 50%, draw 23%, Kungsangen 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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