Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.07/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.44
-24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kungsangen
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Jarfalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-5 HT 0-3 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Kungsangen Kungsangen 1-3 HT 0-2 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
09.10.2022 Kungsangen Kungsangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
31.10.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Kungsangen Kungsangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kungsangen vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla squeezed past Kungsangen 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kungsangen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kungsangen and 1.80 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Kungsangen vs Jarfalla?

Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kungsangen vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kungsangen 27%, draw 25%, Jarfalla 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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