Umea FC Akademi 4-2 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 59%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.48/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.55/1.11
+2% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bergnäsets
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
19.05.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
03.09.2022 Umea FC Akademi 0-3 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
07.07.2021 Umea FC Akademi 0-2 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi beat Bergnäsets 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bergnäsets at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 2.33 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Bergnäsets?

Umea FC Akademi 4-2 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 24%, draw 25%, Bergnäsets 51%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bergnäsets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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