Hogaborgs BK 2-2 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.35/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.01
-28% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Balkan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
30.06.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
08.04.2024 Balkan Balkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hogaborgs BK
2-2
AWAY Balkan
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK and Balkan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hogaborgs BK at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hogaborgs BK had 55% of the ball to Balkan's 45%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hogaborgs BK and 2.50 for Balkan.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan?

Hogaborgs BK 2-2 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 50%, draw 21%, Balkan 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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