Hogaborgs BK 2-1 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Balkan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
08.04.2024 Balkan Balkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK edged past Balkan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hogaborgs BK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan?

Hogaborgs BK 2-1 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 55%, draw 20%, Balkan 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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