Varbergs GIF 7-1 Bergdalens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-2.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.10/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-52% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
468 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergdalens
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Bergdalens 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF ran out comfortable winners over Bergdalens 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens?

Varbergs GIF 7-1 Bergdalens in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 63%, draw 17%, Bergdalens 20%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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