Albacete 3-2 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.08
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.12
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.4 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Huesca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Huesca Huesca 2-2 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.03.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
29.10.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.01.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.08.2022 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.06.2020 Albacete Albacete 2-2 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
3-2
AWAY Huesca
2.15 xG 2.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
271 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete squeezed past Huesca 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 45% of the ball to Huesca's 55%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 2.15 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Albacete and 1.17 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Huesca?

Albacete 3-2 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Albacete 41%, draw 31%, Huesca 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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