Racing Santander 1-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.25
X/2
15%
6.6
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
7%
4.66
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.18
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.3 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 1-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
16.03.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
10.12.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.07.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
21.05.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
28.08.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.06 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
292 Passes 205
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander and Real Oviedo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 55% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.06 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Real Oviedo?

Racing Santander 1-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 40%, draw 30%, Real Oviedo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Santander), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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