Udinese 1-2 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No Pick
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.38
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.26
6+
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza The Market 21%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.41
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
17.5 Crosses 13.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Monza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 443
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.02.2024 Udinese Udinese 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
29.10.2023 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
08.04.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
19.10.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-3 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTK
26.08.2022 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-2
AWAY Monza
1.64 xG 1.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
429 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Udinese vs Monza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monza nicked a narrow win over Udinese 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.61 (roughly 62%) the price was further off than we were. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Udinese had 60% of the ball to Monza's 40%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.64 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Udinese and 1.33 for Monza.

Udinese vs Monza Result & Final Score

Udinese 1-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Udinese vs Monza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Udinese 52%, draw 24%, Monza 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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