Hellas Verona 1-1 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.07
No
48%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.2
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
17%
5.39
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.67
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.26
X/2
8%
6.47
X/X
14%
3.41
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
20%
5.08
2/X
10%
13.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce The Market 32%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.21/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.36
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +91%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.7 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lecce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 289
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
10.03.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.11.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
07.05.2023 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
21.01.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.01.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1-1
AWAY Lecce
0.33 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
234 Passes 234
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Hellas Verona vs Lecce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Hellas Verona and Lecce with a point apiece.

A draw from a 33% / 32% / 35% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Hellas Verona had 51% of the ball to Lecce's 49%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.33 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 0.50 for Lecce.

Hellas Verona vs Lecce Result & Final Score

Hellas Verona 1-1 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hellas Verona vs Lecce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 33%, draw 32%, Lecce 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lecce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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