Napoli vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli and Genoa finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
A gentle 52% lean on Napoli didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.30, ~77%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Napoli had 59% of the ball to Genoa's 41%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.70 to 0.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Napoli and 1.17 for Genoa.
Napoli vs Genoa Result & Final Score
Napoli 2-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Genoa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Napoli 52%, draw 29%, Genoa 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.