Antofagasta 3-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antofagasta EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.98/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.39
-2% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antofagasta
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 2.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
224 Passes 276
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2023 Antofagasta Antofagasta 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİB
19.06.2023 Antofagasta Antofagasta 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİB
12.02.2023 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-0 HT 1-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİLİB
19.01.2021 Antofagasta Antofagasta 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
16.02.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-4 HT 0-2 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
07.04.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-0 HT 0-0 Antofagasta Antofagasta ŞİL
POST-MATCH Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antofagasta saw off Deportes Iquique 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Antofagasta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Antofagasta and 1.83 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique?

Antofagasta 3-1 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Cup on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antofagasta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Antofagasta 38%, draw 28%, Deportes Iquique 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antofagasta) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antofagasta) ✗ Under 2.5
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